Week 9 Preview

The following predictions do not reflect bias or favoritism of HogoOnline. All scores are generated using formulas, rankings, and algorithms (which I named Dorothy) that are still in their infant stages. Please be kind to all predictions and remember, if you don't like it, the computer did it. After all, they're just silly predictions, right?

Last week: Dorothy 2-1
2008 Season: Dorothy 30-6

I just want to point out that Dorothy predicted RR to win 26-20. Final was 27-20. I’m just saying.

George Wythe (3-4, 2-0)
at Rural Retreat (2-5, 1-1)

So the hype has now come to pass. George Wythe delivered Holston their first loss of the year and reminded the rest of the district that their record means nothing in this last leg of district play. The Maroons got 100+ yards rushing out of Jonathan Turpin and Will Sawyers as well as the usual superb passing performance from Jacob Sharitz. Rural Retreat had a 27 point fourth quarter lead dwindle down to 7 as NW mounted a furious comeback. The Indians managed to win the game but were reminded that football games are still four quarters long… not three. If RR plays defense all four quarters against the Maroons, they give themselves a chance to upset their Wythe County foes. No road win in Community Stadium is ever easy regardless of RR’s record. On a side-note, the Maroons have scored 192 points this season as opposed to RR’s 73. GW leads this Wythe County rivalry 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

• 1998: George Wythe 28-20
• 1999: Rural Retreat 28-21
• 2000: George Wythe 22-19
• 2001: George Wythe 14-12
• 2002: George Wythe 44-12
• 2003: George Wythe 24-7
• 2004: George Wythe 20-6
• 2005: George Wythe 22-14
• 2006: Rural Retreat 41-14
• 2007: George Wythe 28-13
• 2008 Prediction: Dorothy says George Wythe 27-19
  

Northwood (0-7, 0-3)
at Patrick Henry (2-6, 0-2)

Both the Panthers and Rebels are coming off of district losses with very different finishes. NW almost completed one of the most exciting comebacks in Hogo history with a twenty point fourth quarter that put them within one score late in the game. PH held it close with Chilhowie, 12-6 just before halftime before eventually falling 46-6 to the Warriors. Bodie Keesee has found the end-zone several times in several different ways for the Panthers and has proven to be a reliable playmaker for a team lacking luster. Coach Compton consistently gets a strong first half effort out of his Rebels but the second half has become a trend of poor play. If the Rebels come out flat in the second half against the Panthers, a Northwood rally might get them their first win. This district rivalry leans in favor of NW, 6-4, in the last ten.

• 1998: Patrick Henry 49-0
• 1999: Patrick Henry 20-13
• 2000: Northwood 14-0
• 2001: Northwood 18-2
• 2002: Northwood 28-0
• 2003: Northwood 27-7
• 2004: Patrick Henry 31-13
• 2005: Northwood 45-25
• 2006: Northwood 41-14
• 2007: Patrick Henry 28-13
• 2008 Prediction: Patrick Henry 34-27

Chilhowie (7-0, 2-0)
at Holston (7-1, 3-1)

The Cavs attempted to redeem several years of abuse by the Maroons as they have done so far this year against the likes of Patrick Henry and Rural Retreat but came up short after a respectable effort against one of the area’s perennial powerhouses. Coach Matlock was certainly proud of his Cavs who, despite the loss, are still eyeing a division one Region C championship which is theirs to lose in the eyes of many. The Warriors of Chilhowie came out flat and then rallied off 46 unanswered points against Patrick Henry. Josh Jackson threw for over 200 yards and four touchdowns, three of which were to Curtis Williams, as if to make a statement that the Warriors are indeed a multi-dimensional squad contrary to the beliefs of several. If the Holston defense, who allowed two GW players to grind out 100 yards apiece, can put the clamps on the Warriors running game and contain the passing attack, they will have a great shot at an upset. Otherwise, the Warriors are likely to nickel and dime it down the field. It is also worth noting that the Chilhowie starting defense has only allowed four touchdowns this year and only two since week one. Holston hasn't beaten Chilhowie since 1995.

• 1998: Chilhowie 28-18
• 1999: Chilhowie 35-20
• 2000: Chilhowie 40-14
• 2001: Chilhowie 7-0
• 2002: Chilhowie 29-6
• 2003: Chilhowie 7-6
• 2004: Chilhowie 49-16
• 2005: Chilhowie 50-13
• 2006: Chilhowie 36-7
• 2007: Chilhowie 39-18
• 2008 Prediction: Dorothy says Chilhowie 20-13